Análisis de tendencia de series de tiempo oceanográficas y meteorológicas para determinar evidencias de cambio climático en la costa del Ecuador
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Análisis de tendencia de series ...
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Date
2002
Métadonnées
Afficher la notice complèteAbstract
El propósito de la investigación es evidenciar la influencia física del cambio climático global en la costa del Ecuador, procurando inferir escenarios más precisos a escala local, en cuanto a temperatura del mar, temperatura del aire y nivel medio del mar.27-years time series of oceanographic and meteorological data from stations located along the Ecuadorian coast were statistically analyzed in order to determine evidence of climatic change in Ecuador. Linear tendency analysis was applied to air surface temperature, sea surface temperature, and mean sea level. All the tendency lines of thermal parameters show a positive slope, suggesting the increase of the average patterns, however the mean sea level although has a negative slope during the period studied, in a long term series since 1950 seems to have a decadal behaviour that modulate the signal. The results of increasing temperatures are consisten with global estimations of environmental warming turning into clear evidence of climate change in the ecuadorian coast.
Journal
Acta Oceanográfica del PacíficoVolume
11Issue/Article Nr
1Publisher or University
Instituto Oceanográfico de la Armada, Guayaquil, EcuadorCollections